On Wednesday, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is experiencing a significant uptick, rising by 1.60% and trading at an encouraging price of $29,700.
This positive trajectory seems to be driven by major macroeconomic factors, especially the anticipated CPI report and the upcoming interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.
Moreover, the financial environment is brimming with positivity, as the anticipation for a Bitcoin ETF approval grows stronger, further propelling the cryptocurrency’s price momentum.
BTCBenefits from Macro Factors Ahead of CPI Report and Fed Interest Rate Decision
The prevailing BTC price is intricately tied to broader economic movements. Historical analysis indicates that BTC values often surge during periods of monetary inflation, as observed in 2021.
The forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July is projected to surpass the Fed’s benchmark of 2%, potentially hitting approximately 3.3%. Such figures accentuate existing apprehensions about inflation.
As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its interest rate decision on September 20th, a palpable sense of expectation fills the atmosphere.
This move by the Federal Reserve is largely perceived as an effort to tackle inflation. In response, Bitcoin (BTC) investors, especially the major holders, are leveraging derivatives to assume long stances.
Such maneuvers might offer a cushion for BTC prices amidst heightened inflationary concerns. Yet, the road ahead remains unpredictable, and in the face of deteriorating economic situations, investors may initially gravitate towards traditional financial safe havens.
Bitcoin ETF Approval Optimism Drives Price Surge
Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a price upswing, largely fueled by the optimism related to the potential approval of a spot BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Leading figures in the industry, like Ark Invest’s CEO Cathie Wood and Galaxy Digital’s CEO Mike Novogratz, both express hopeful sentiments regarding the approval.
Wood postulates that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) might greenlight multiple ETFs simultaneously. On the other hand, Novogratz, drawing insights from contacts at BlackRock and Invesco, anticipates that one out of the eight awaiting BTC ETF applications will receive the SEC’s nod in the upcoming half-year.
BlackRock’s involvement significantly elevates the stature of this development. Their June submission for a Bitcoin fund spot has notably boosted investor sentiment.
These ETFs offer an avenue for both retail and institutional investors to tap into Bitcoin’s potential without the necessity of directly interacting with cryptocurrency exchanges.
Given the active participation from industry giants and the prevailing optimism, the price of BTC is positively reacting to the potential green light for ETFs.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Currently hovering near the $29,697 mark, Bitcoin displays a modest bullish trend. However, it encounters hurdles in surpassing the $30,200 barrier, a sentiment mirrored in the four-hour chart.
The resistance becomes even more pronounced given the technical patterns which hint at a growing bearish mood. Key metrics, including the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), are approaching the overbought territory, signaling a potential tapering off of the prevailing bullish momentum.
Bitcoin has touched the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $29,800 and could be setting its sights on the 38.2% level at $29,600.
If it breaches below this, BTC may be on a trajectory toward $29,250. On the flip side, should it successfully surpass the $30,200 resistance, the cryptocurrency could be propelled into the $30,600 to $31,000 bracket.
The price points at $29,800 and $30,200 are pivotal, with any movements beneath them hinting at a possible bearish turn for BTC.